Welcome to the 125th U.S. Open Championship, where it appears the tournament will still be contested, despite everyone wanting to hand the trophy to Scottie Scheffler already.
That includes the oddsmakers, who have enlisted Scheffler as a rare +275 favorite at BetMGM against the other 155 players in the field at Oakmont Country Club, which makes Scheffler the biggest favorite to win the event since 2009, when Tiger Woods was +175 (thank you, SportsOddsHistory).
By comparison, Scheffler owned two more victories at this point last year, but had longer odds (+325) going into the festivities at Pinehurst. In the nine years prior to that, the shortest odds for a favorite heading into the tournament were +600 (Scheffler in 2023, Jason Day in 2016 and Rory McIlroy in 2015), and none of those favorites won.
All of which should remind us of a long-standing wagering aphorism: When everyone else zigs, you’ve gotta zag. With that in mind, allow me to submit my reasons Scheffler is positively, absolutely, probably, maybe not going to win this one.
Read more on Scheffler below.
GO FURTHER
Can we find any good reasons Scottie Scheffler won’t win the U.S. Open?